2018 Predictions & Recommendations: The Cloud Will Accelerate Channel Partner Migration to Next-Generation Security Innovators

This post is part of an ongoing blog series examining predictions and recommendations for cybersecurity in 2018.

It wasn’t long ago that success in the security channel was based on a partner’s ability to integrate point products. The more point products you offered, the better because the complexity – and, therefore, your margin – was in providing product integration services. The stalwart performers during this era were called “solution providers.”

But as the volume and sophistication of today’s cyberattacks increase, point product approaches that deliver detection and remediation capabilities have proven to be ineffective. Customers want to prevent successful attacks from the endpoint, across the network and within any cloud.

What we have is the industry’s first prevention-based, highly integrated and automated, Next-Generation Security Platform. Our best partners have been part of a fundamental shift in the channel to think beyond the point – that is, beyond point products.

To help our channel partners build a successful platform practice, we evolved our channel mission to build a partner ecosystem of next-generation security innovators, experts at enhancing the platform to prevent successful cyberattacks.

Early adopters of the next-generation security innovator success factors have benefited greatly. In fact, in FY17 we had more than 100 partners double their business with us and ended the year doing more than $1 million in sales for Palo Alto Networks. These channel partners have helped us define the next-generation security innovator blueprint for success.

This is only the beginning of a massive channel migration, which we predict will accelerate in 2018 because of the cloud, but not for the reasons you might think.

The common belief is the cloud changes everything. Ironically, it is what the cloud doesn’t change that will help accelerate this migration in 2018:

  1. Security will remain a strategic priority for every company and organization in the world, regardless of where the data resides.
  2. Security risks will stay the same – different data centers, same risks.
  3. A true platform approach will still be key to prevention, and whether on-premise or in the cloud, customers know that legacy point products are incapable of protecting their businesses.

With a clear understanding of the customer’s cloud security priorities, risks and need for a platform, channel partners have realized they must strengthen their value proposition and differentiate themselves by accelerating their migration to becoming next-generation security innovators.

Now that we understand the baseline reasons for channel partners to accelerate their migration, let’s focus on the motivation. In 2018, I recommend our channel partners explore our new licensing model. Optimized for the cloud, our new licensing model addresses two fundamental cloud adoption issues for our channel partners:

  1. How to build a sustainable cloud business practice when sales are fluid or unpredictable?
  2. How do I compensate my sales team on much smaller per-use deals?

We unveiled our new licensing model in April 2017. Since its launch, the average deal size has been more than $300,000. We have created a licensing model that is perfect for channel partners. Our ability to successfully bundle pay-per-use into a license that is both predictable and easy to compensate for will be the motivating factor that drives thousands of partners to accelerate their migration to next-generation security innovators.

What are your thoughts and predictions for cybersecurity in 2018?

Learn more by exploring these helpful next-generation security innovator resources:

[Palo Alto Networks Research Center]

2018 Predictions & Recommendations: Automated Threat Response Technology in OT Grows Up

This post is part of an ongoing blog series examining predictions and recommendations for cybersecurity in 2018.

Automated Threat Response and Relevance to IT and OT

Automated threat response, which we’ll simply refer to as ATR, is the process of automating the action taken on detected cyber incidents, particularly those deemed malicious or anomalous. For each type of incident, there is a predefined action for containment or prevention where newer technologies, such as behavioral analytics and artificial intelligence, are utilized to bring incidents of interest to the surface. With these technologies, the goal is to automate the process of detection, and implement an equally automated and closed-loop process of prevention. This not only reduces the burden on the SecOps teams but also shortens the response time. Over recent years, IT organizations have needed to adopt ATR technologies, such as our WildFire and behavioral analytics offerings, to be able to better combat the advanced attacks that have increased in frequency and capability.

So how applicable is this technology in protecting Industrial Control Systems (ICS) and Operational Technology (OT) environments from advanced threats? It is clearly relevant for the adjacent corporate and business networks of the OT environment, which are often internet- connected and subject to usage by threat actors as a pivot point for an attack. But what I’m more interested in is the relevance to the core areas of ICS: Levels 3, 2, 1 of the Purdue model, and the DMZs between them. ATR is very relevant, in fact.

Consider the scenario where an HMI station in an electric utility Energy Management System is suddenly being used to issue an unusually high amount of DNP3 operate commands (to open breakers), much higher than the baseline. This could constitute a malicious event or, at minimum, an anomalous one. ATR systems could be used to detect such events and automatically respond, whether it is to block the rogue device or limit the connection; for example, by giving the device of interest read-only access for the DNP3 protocol.

So why has this technology not been adopted yet? There are several reasons. Most OT organizations’ current OT cybersecurity initiatives focus on visibility and access control. Advanced threat prevention is a longer-term initiative. Second, the newer AI/machine learning technologies used to baseline ICS-specific traffic and detect anomalies have been mostly reserved for R&D or PoC environments. Third, ICS/OT asset owners and operators tend to be very conservative. The idea of allowing a system to automatically respond to detecting threat incidents is pretty scary for most OT folks due to the fear of accidentally blocking legitimate traffic/devices and causing downtime. Finally, the use cases and response actions for incidents detected in OT have not been well-defined.

2018 Is the Year of ATR in OT

My prediction for 2018 is that ATR in OT will reach production-level maturity and be deployed in a meaningful way. “Meaningful” means that we will start seeing large-scale deployments by leading operators of ICS in critical infrastructure and manufacturing environments.

There are several reasons I believe this will be the case. Some leading organizations have matured beyond visibility and segmentation, and have completed their PoCs of the technology. To add, a strong ecosystem around the OT-specific profiling, behavioral analytics, and anomaly detection has emerged. Some of these solutions exist as dedicated sensors or as modules that supplement SIEM devices. Initially deployed as stand-alone detection tools, these ICS network- monitoring solutions are starting to be integrated with enforcement devices, such as our next-generation firewalls, which are then used to realize the appropriate threat response.

Further driving the adoption are recent high-profile, cyber-physical attacks, such as those to the Ukraine grid in 2015 and 2016, which many perceive may have been mitigated or possibly prevented with ICS-specific ATR technologies. The scope of ATR in OT could also be applied to threats typically associated with IT, like ransomware, which could still impact OT. The effect of WannaCry in causing downtime in some manufacturing plants in 2016 is an example of this. I also see the development of OT incident response playbooks and semi-automated approaches, which make adoption into OT more amenable for resource-constrained and risk-averse OT types.

To be sure, ATR in OT will be initially limited to cases deemed less risky in terms of accidentally causing process downtime or safety issues. What defines “less risky” is certainly debatable and is still being worked out. Also, this definition will differ between organizations. However, there are some seemingly amenable ATR in OT scenarios mentioned often in my discussions with OT security teams. These include the case where a pre-existing host is suddenly performing unusual commands and then limiting its access; for example, limiting an HMI or engineering workstation to read-only access to the PLCs. It may also include blocking new devices that were not included in any installation plan of record.

One other such scenario would be to quarantine a non-critical host, such as a redundant HMI, found to be infected with ransomware. Another aspect of how I see gradual adoption is in how OT users will want the option to manually accept or reject a proposed threat response. This isn’t a fully automated approach, but is likely a necessary intermediate step toward proving full automation. Integrators developing these systems will be wise to develop user interfaces and workflows to support this semi-automated approach.

Palo Alto Networks Enables Automated Response

In anticipation of this growing use case, Palo Alto Networks has been engaged closely with the ATR ecosystem, customers and industry organizations to put in place the integration required to facilitate the adoption. A key enabler for the integration and automation is our powerful application programming interface, which makes interacting with sensors, SIEMs and other system elements very easy. Furthermore, the flexibility and granularity of the controls that could be automatically implemented are immense. Specifically, for OT environment, users can apply the App-ID we have for ICS to implement protocol-level responses down to functional commands; for example, to the DNP3 operate command mentioned earlier. Couple that with User-ID for role-based access, Content-ID for control over payloads/threats and, of course, more basic controls based on IP and port, and here you have a very flexible ATR platform that can accommodate a range of response templates, which could be tied to an organizations risk tolerance. A hazard and operability study (HAZOP) may be something organizations do to determine the appropriate ATR for certain scenarios where more conservative responses, which may include redundant systems, would be applied to processes/operations.

Whether it is in 2018 or later that our users decide to implement ATR in OT, they will be happy to know we have the capabilities in place, and the ecosystem to support their initiatives.

Learn more

[Palo Alto Networks Research Center]

Five Areas to Consider When Testing Cyber Threat Intelligence Effectiveness

According to the ISACA State of Cyber Security 2017 research, 80% of respondents believe “it is either “likely” or “very likely” that they will be attacked in 2017.” In 2018 and beyond, based on current risk trends to organizations from their infrastructure, employees, supply chain and external threat actors, this figure is unlikely to drop.

Cyber threat intelligence (CTI) plays an important role in an organization’s defense-in-depth defense strategy often being leveraged by other cyber security functions, such as security event monitoring, incident response and forensic investigations.

To derive value from CTI, raw or processed data feeds must be analyzed and applied within the context of the organization to improve, among other capabilities, the ability to detect threats and respond to incidents.

Visibility into the design and operating effectiveness of CTI processes can provide some assurance to management and potentially support funding requests for further investment in this area. Based on that premise, below are five areas to consider when conducting a review of your organization’s CTI capabilities.

Alignment with your organization’s threat model
Commonalities exist in the threats to organizations operating in the same industry sector. However, because no two businesses are exactly alike, there is a high likelihood that each one will have a slightly different threat model.

Threat modeling is a necessary risk management step to ensure that resources are directed at controls that address the real threats to the organization. Therefore, to ensure that CTI sourced by an organization is effective, it must support an existing threat model.

A key initial part of your review should involve checking whether your organization maintains a threat model, whether the CTI sourcing strategy adds more visibility to that model and whether the combination of both supports effective decision-making when managing risk.

Quality of threat intelligence
Threat and vulnerability information originates from a variety of internal and external sources and is often ingested manually or through automation by the user organization.

Externally, sources include commercial CTI vendors, industry/community collaboration forums, and security product/vendor intelligence feeds. Internal sources include proactive vulnerability scanning, network monitoring and behavioral analysis tools.

Whether derived internally or externally, the quality of CTI is critical for it to effectively contribute toward improving an organization’s cyber security posture.

According to leading threat intelligence expert Sergio Caltagirone, the quality of threat intelligence is determined by four factors: completeness, accuracy, relevance and timeliness. Each of these factors is described briefly below:

  • Completeness – Visibility of the organization’s threat model could provide a view on the completeness of CTI. Threat models will help the organization to ask the right questions of CTI data.
  • Accuracy – A high number of false positives in an intelligence report infers poor quality CTI. A consistent trend of false positives may require further investigation.
  • Relevance – The more organizational and industry context that is available within CTI, the more useful it is. More weight should be given to internally sourced CTI which reflects the nuances of an organization over externally sourced CTI which may be generic and may lack context.
  • Timeliness – CTI is only effective if it can be applied in an operational context to address current threats facing an organization.

Start by obtaining a list of your organization’s internal and external sources and reviewing them against each of these factors.

Integration with security monitoring
There are many use cases for CTI. According to the 2017 SANS Institute Cyber Threat Intelligence report, the top use case for CTI was in security operations, as 72% of respondents say they use CTI information when detecting potential cyber security events and locating sources and/or blocking malicious activities or threats.

An effective security monitoring strategy is one which correlates and analyzes data from multiple sources to detect threats before they can cause harm to the organization. Leveraging available CTI is one way to ensure the optimal use of security operations resources by focusing monitoring efforts on indicators of compromise that pose the highest risk.

Conduct a review of security monitoring procedures to determine how much CTI influences monitoring strategies.

Integration with incident response
Improving visibility into threats and attack methodologies is vital to an organization’s ability to respond to incidents. Effective CTI provides insight into the intent, opportunity and capability of a cyber-attacker. It is this insight which gives an organization some assurance that it can deploy appropriate defense mechanisms to prevent a successful attack.

As part of your review, assess the degree to which CTI is integrated with the steps in your organization’s incident response approach, including preparation, detection, analysis, containment, eradication and recovery.

Measuring the impact of incidents
A post-mortem review of security incidents could give an organization insight into what worked well (and what did not) during incident detection and response and help to identify improvement opportunities.

It is worth reviewing security incidents to determine whether the use of CTI in security monitoring and incident response played a significant role in areas such as detecting unknown threats, reducing time to identify and respond to threats, and preventing significant damage to systems and data.

An assessment of the relevance of CTI to reducing the impact of security incidents could provide a view on which intelligence sources provide the best value to the organization and deserve continued investment.

Summary
The value of CTI to any organization is in its ability to support timely decision-making by stakeholders including executive management, corporate security, security operations and risk teams.

Regardless of which cyber security functions it is applied to, this is the key consideration to remember when conducting a review of the design and operating effectiveness of CTI processes.

Editor’s note: For more insights on threat intelligence, download ISACA’s threat intelligence tech brief.

Omo Osagiede, Director, Borderless-I Consulting

[ISACA Now Blog]

Five Mistakes to Avoid When Deploying Emerging Technology

When I finished my proof-of-concept presentation to the CIO of a prospective client at a recent meeting, he was more than surprised – he was upset. He almost yelled at me: “How did you do it?”

For my demo, my client had to complete a paper application form used by his company’s sales force. He needed to do this by hand, as would any customer, but using a digital pen equipped not only with an ordinary ink cartridge, but also with a micro-camera that captured each trace of the pen on the paper. When he had finished the application, he checked one box at the end of it that read “Transmit.” While explaining the features of the digital pen, I opened my laptop and remotely connected to our demo server. From there, just a few seconds after he had completed the application, I could show to him not only a high-quality scan of the completed application, but also all the data already translated into usable fields: numbers, dates, addresses, ready for ERP integration. He stood up in astonishment and asked: “How did you do it? How??”

This appears to be a nice example of a presentation that went so well that I took my audience completely by surprise with an emerging, unexpectedly beautiful technology. But the truth is, less than two years after launching our work with digital writing, we had to completely write off two years of work and investment put in an offering that appeared to be “The Next Big Thing.”

Talking about our digital transformation successes is always nice, but I would like to share these five innovation facts that, from my experience, should be understood to avoid failing in this era where all of us are at the brink of launching The Next Big Thing, whether on top of blockchain or IoT or AI or machine learning technologies.

1. “Innovation Chasm” does exist. I am sure that many of you have seen the Technology Adoption Lifecycle graph that describes the Innovators, Early Adopters, etc. Well, in that graph, there is a chasm between being loved by technology fans and getting a growing majority of users that will make your product the next iPhone. In the case I described, we could not convince owners of the intellectual property in a timely fashion to simplify the pricing model to accelerate the creation of a minimum user base. Check your business model for scenarios where the chasm is bigger than anticipated.

2. Platforms and ecosystems matter. The possibilities of emerging technologies are immense but decisions need to be made in relation to the platform or ecosystem you want to belong to or create for others. No one cares for a solution that cannot integrate and evolve for future needs. Our digital writing offering did use industry standards like XML or GMS but relied heavily on proprietary technology within the core product.

3. The “Innovator’s Dilemma” is real. Professor Clayton Christensen has said that companies are designed for the status quo and innovation efforts are killed by design. This is, although companies may not say it, they do not really want to disrupt themselves. So, your presentation to whoever approves your innovation effort needs to avoid a collision trajectory and rather explain the complementary nature of business and customer bases that you are bringing to the table.

4. Being a maverick is cool, but … In the end, a successful launch of an emerging technology needs to be on good terms with the leading powers that will put your product in front of users. It needs to integrate seamlessly with dominant social platforms as well as with online and app stores, and be designed to quickly open its features to the newcomers that will play a dominant role in your marketplace. That is why you see such collaboration among companies that otherwise would be rivals to create the future ecosystems for blockchain, machine learning, etc.

5. ITBMS! I have a blog post called It’s the Business Model, Stupid. We have seen for several years that, in the end, all successful technology companies have managed to build a credible business model that will turn around years of losses (sorry, capital investments) by creating value for an ever-growing number of users. So, be bold in pursuing your dreams for a better world, but keep close your friends that can make sense of it in terms of a sustainable, long-term business model.

Author’s note: Jose Angel Arias has started and led several technology and business consulting companies over his 30-year career. In addition to having been an angel investor himself, as head of Grupo Consult, he participated in TechBA’s business acceleration programs in Austin and Madrid. He transitioned his career to lead the Global Innovation Group in Softtek for four years. He is currently technology audit director with a global financial services company. He has been a member of ISACA and a Certified Information Systems Auditor (CISA) since 2003.

Jose Angel Arias, CISA, Technology Audit Director

[ISACA Now Blog]

Enterprise Leaders Should Steer Organizations on Path to Digital Transformation

Employees are at their best when they are encouraged to take calculated risks, rather than becoming complacent with what they know and what has become comfortable. The same holds true for enterprises.

Some of the best risks enterprises can take in our technology-driven business landscape involve deploying transformative technologies that allow them to connect with customers in new and innovative ways. Yet, in many cases, organizations are failing to capitalize on the widening array of opportunities.

ISACA’s new Digital Transformation Barometer research shows that only 31% of organizations frequently evaluate opportunities arising from emerging technology. Given the swift pace with which technology is introduced and refined, this shows that most enterprises are undercutting their ability to seize marketplace opportunities and better serve their customers.

Boards of directors and the C-suite should be challenging their operational teams to research, pilot and ultimately become experts in emerging technologies capable of transforming their enterprises. Big data, artificial intelligence, Internet of Things devices and blockchain are just a few examples of technologies capable of delivering transformational change. To lead effectively, senior leaders have to be able to articulate the future vision for their companies in the context of the technologies that will get them there.

There isn’t a board chair or CEO on the planet who would not be thrilled to open new revenue streams or reach new customers – some of the top motivators for pursuing digital transformation. So, what is holding so many organizations back? A shortage of digitally fluent leaders is one impediment. Only a little more than half of survey respondents expressed confidence that their organizations’ leaders have a solid understanding of technology and its related benefits and risks. ISACA’s research shows that those organizations lacking digitally fluent leadership are less likely to evaluate technology opportunities.

Even those organizations that perform their due diligence in vetting new technologies often develop reservations once more is learned about the associated risks. A whopping 96% of survey respondents believe there is high or medium risk in deploying IoT devices, and more than 9 in 10 respondents also categorized public cloud and AI/machine learning/cognitive technology as posing medium to high risk.

The reality is every new technology introduced expands the attack surfaces and presents new risks. Organizations must move beyond that inherent discomfort and devote the necessary resources to mitigate risk to acceptable levels. Enterprises with effective information and technology governance programs can deliver better customer experiences, innovate more, and improve their business performance and profitability. Investing in well-trained, highly skilled professionals in areas such as audit, risk, governance and cyber security can provide enterprises the confidence they need to effectively and securely leverage their technology. Organizations should also resist the urge to take shortcuts in pilot testing or research and development when evaluating new technologies.

It’s important to have realistic expectations about digital transformation. Not every turn of the wheel on an enterprise’s journey can be a smashing success, and organizational leaders must give their team members the freedom to take a well-reasoned risk that may – or may not – yield the anticipated results. Those failures can provide unparalleled learning opportunities.

Organizations that remain committed to digital transformation can reap great rewards. From telecommunications giant Sprint tapping into big data, to a town in North Carolina, USA, shedding the yoke of legacy applications, there is no shortage of examples of enterprise large and small successfully harnessing digital transformation.

As the Latin proverb goes, fortune favors the bold. Enterprise leaders should embrace that mindset and make digital transformation a centerpiece of their organizations’ roadmaps toward a prosperous future.

Matt Loeb, CGEIT, CAE, FASAE, Chief Executive Officer, ISACA

[ISACA Now Blog]

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